Baltimore Ravens: NFL Playoff Chances Heading into Week 12

GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 19: Matthew Judon
GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 19: Matthew Judon /

At 5-5, the Baltimore Ravens own the No. 6 seed in the AFC Wild Card standings entering their Monday Night Football showdown against the Houston Texans.

The 2017 Baltimore Ravens schedule has six games left until the end of the NFL regular season.

Out of the Ravens six remaining games, four of them are against teams below .500 including their Week 12 matchup against the Houston Texans (4-6) before playing the AFC division-leading Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) and the NFC’s Detriot Lions (6-4).

Fortunately for the Ravens playoff chances, their last three opponents include the winless Cleveland Browns (0-10), Indianapolis Colts (3-7) and Cincinnati Bengals (4-6).

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Entering Week 12, the Ravens are 5-5 and own sole possession of the final AFC wild card spot. However, the Buffalo Bills trail closely behind the Ravens with an identical record of 5-5.

From there, six teams sit with a 4-6 record with playoff chances very much alive. Most noteworthy, the Ravens own the tiebreaker over Buffalo due to best win percentage

If the season ended today, the Ravens would travel south to play the No. 3 seed Jacksonville Jaguars in the AFC wild card round. Nonetheless, there’s still a lot of football to be played before playoff seeding is determined.

With that in mind, let’s dive into the world of NFL analytics and examine NFL playoff projections and predictions.

NFL Playoff Probabilities, Projections and Odds Entering Week 12

1. FiveThirtyEight

Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight 2017 NFL Predictions calculates the Ravens football team’s playoff probability at 65 percent chance. Even more, the Ravens earned the highest 1-week points increase (+45) in the Elo ratings at 1530 points.

With the Steelers comfortable lead in the AFC North division, FiveThirtyEight gives the Ravens just a slim four percent chance of a division title.

2. Football Outsiders

Football Outsiders, an innovative statistics, and intelligent analysis site by Mike Harris generate NFL playoff odds report at the conclusion of each week. In brief, the weekly probability report is formulated by DVOA ratings and over 50,000 simulations.

Heading into NFL Week 12 action on Thanksgiving Day, Football Outsiders forecasts the Ravens to finish with nine wins once it’s all said and done, along with a firm 40.7 percent of grabbing the No. 5 seed in the AFC standings.

Likewise, the Ravens hold a 31.1 percent chance of the last and final playoff spot, the No. 6 seed. Finally, Football Outsiders give the Ravens a fairly high chance of a playoff berth at 74.8 percent.

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3. AccuScore

The NFL picks and football game predictions site, AccuScore, measures the Ravens record for 2017 at 9.2 wins and 6.8 losses. Furthermore, AccuScore put Baltimore’s playoff chances at 72 percent heading into Week 12.